Leevon / PPK 2-2 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

Leevon / PPK
2-2 HT 0-2
Smiltene
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.1pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leevon / PPK v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.88
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
494 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leevon / PPK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-2 HT 0-1 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK and Smiltene couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Leevon / PPK carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene?

Leevon / PPK 2-2 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 60%, draw 15%, Smiltene 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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