Smiltene 0-2 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 46%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-75% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK beat Smiltene 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Leevon / PPK made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?

Smiltene 0-2 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 39%, draw 22%, Leevon / PPK 39%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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