Riga FC II 0-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
42%
+15.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
35%
-16.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 39%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+74% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova squeezed past Riga FC II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Super Nova?

Riga FC II 0-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 57%, draw 23%, Super Nova 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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