Valmiera / BSS vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valmiera / BSS v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Valmiera / BSS vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-0
HT 1-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
Valmiera / BSS 4-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS cruised past BFC Daugavpils 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 56% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 44%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 2.93 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 0.67 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Valmiera / BSS 4-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 62%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.