Egersunds 3-2 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.88
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 27%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -32%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.99
-50% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Start
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Start Start 4-3 HT 2-2 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
09.05.2018 Egersunds Egersunds 0-1 HT 0-0 Start Start NOK
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds edged past Start 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Egersunds as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Start led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Egersunds and 2.50 for Start.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Start?

Egersunds 3-2 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 49%, draw 26%, Start 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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