Valerenga 3-0 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.85
2-3 Goals
35%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
76%
-18.2pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
3.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.65
+60% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Raufoss
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 1-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
3-0
AWAY Raufoss
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga cruised past Raufoss 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valerenga had 61% of the ball to Raufoss's 39%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Raufoss?

Valerenga 3-0 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 58%, draw 23%, Raufoss 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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