Start 4-3 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.38/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.05.2018 Egersunds Egersunds 0-1 HT 0-0 Start Start NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Start
4-3
AWAY Egersunds
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 20
12 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Start vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start edged past Egersunds 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Egersunds at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Start had 43% of the ball to Egersunds's 57%, shots finished 21-20.

What was the final score of Start vs Egersunds?

Start 4-3 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Start 31%, draw 24%, Egersunds 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Egersunds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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