Odds BK 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.66
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
16%
6.08
X/2
8%
5.63
X/X
11%
5.49
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.29
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -22%
1.36/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.50
+19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
15.8 Crosses 25.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
19.08.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
07.06.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-1 HT 2-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOK
23.04.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
20.08.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
07.05.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
1-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.00 xG 1.31
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
183 Passes 488
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK and Sarpsborg 08 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odds BK had 32% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 68%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 1.00 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Odds BK and 1.17 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs Sarpsborg 08?

Odds BK 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 40%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Odds BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odds BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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