Celje 4-2 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +34%
1.76/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
-9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
17.03.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
05.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.04.2023 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
11.12.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
4-2
AWAY Radomlje
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje got the better of Radomlje 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celje had 64% of the ball to Radomlje's 36%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celje and 0.50 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Celje vs Radomlje?

Celje 4-2 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Celje 56%, draw 21%, Radomlje 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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