Maribor vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maribor v Mura — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Maribor
SLVN
3-1
HT 2-1
Mura
SLVN
3-1
HT 2-1
Mura
SLVN
2-1
HT 2-1
Maribor
SLVN
Maribor 2-1 Mura — Actual Match Statistics
Maribor nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Maribor had 60% of the ball to Mura's 40%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.17 for Mura.
What was the final score of Maribor vs Mura?
Maribor 2-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maribor vs Mura?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maribor 53%, draw 25%, Mura 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.