KR Reykjavik 2-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.0pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.79/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.51
+36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.8 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.84 xG 2.13
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
580 Passes 179
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
46 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 4-3 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
11.02.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
08.03.2014 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-1
AWAY Afturelding
3.81 xG 0.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 6
446 Passes 302
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
47 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik edged past Afturelding 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 57% of the ball to Afturelding's 43%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 3.81 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KR Reykjavik's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.67 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

KR Reykjavik 2-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 51%, draw 21%, Afturelding 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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