FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FH Hafnarfjordur v İA Akranes — Team-Based Signals
FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
İA Akranes
İZL
6-1
HT 3-1
İA Akranes
İZL
FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 İA Akranes — Actual Match Statistics
FH Hafnarfjordur nicked a narrow win over İA Akranes 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 48% of the ball to İA Akranes's 52%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 3.19 to 1.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FH Hafnarfjordur's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.67 for İA Akranes.
What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes?
FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes?
Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 61%, draw 21%, İA Akranes 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.