Semen Padang 1-2 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.54
Draw
23%
3.81
Away
13%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Semen Padang The Market 65%
Signal
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor The Market 19%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Strong Attack Strength Average
Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
0W-1D-1L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
01.03.2025 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-1 HT 1-0 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor ENDL1
18.10.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
REVIEW Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSBS Biak Numfor edged past Semen Padang 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

This one beat our numbers. Semen Padang carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.83 (~55%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSBS Biak Numfor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Semen Padang against 2.00 for PSBS Biak Numfor.

Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor Result & Final Score

Semen Padang 1 - 2 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Semen Padang win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 64%, draw 23%, PSBS Biak Numfor 13%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Semen Padang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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