11/09/2026
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Burgos vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
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· fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
Burgos v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Burgos vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Burgos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY
Ceuta
0.50
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
0.70
xG
0.85
49%
Ball Possession
51%
8
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
6
304
Passes
324
81%
Pass Accuracy
82%
18
Box Touches
22
25
Crosses
18
2
Yellow Cards
4
PREVIEW
Burgos vs Ceuta
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
Our model makes Burgos clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.
Ceuta's recent away league games have been goal-heavy — 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5.
Looking at the history: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceuta lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Ceuta.
Burgos vs Ceuta Kick-off Time
Burgos play Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/09/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Burgos vs Ceuta Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Burgos vs Ceuta is a Burgos win at about 61% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Burgos 61%, draw 24%, Ceuta 15%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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