AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Sep 2026

📅11/09/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
87%
1.15
Draw
8%
7.19
Away
5%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Willem II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 1.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
535 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Willem II Willem II 0-2 HT 0-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
10.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-2 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL
20.03.2022 Willem II Willem II 2-2 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
18.12.2021 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
03.04.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
20.12.2020 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-3 HT 2-2 Willem II Willem II HOL
PREVIEW AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Everything in the data leans AZ Alkmaar's way at home, though favourites lose football matches every week.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Willem II's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.33 for Willem II.

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Kick-off Time

AZ Alkmaar play Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/09/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II is a AZ Alkmaar win at about 87% probability, priced 1.15 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is AZ Alkmaar 87%, draw 8%, Willem II 5%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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