Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
4-1
HT 1-1
Willem II
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
5-3
HT 2-2
Willem II
HOL
1-3
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL
Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar got the better of Willem II 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Willem II had 46% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 54%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.35 to 2.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Willem II and 2.33 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar?
Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Willem II 26%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.