Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
14%
9.2
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
9%
7.51
2/X
5%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.53
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.7 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Groningen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.05.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-5 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.09.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.05.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.10.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
02.05.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-0
AWAY Groningen
0.65 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
396 Passes 464
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam squeezed past Groningen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 46% of the ball to Groningen's 54%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.65 to 1.07 — on chances, Groningen could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 47%, draw 24%, Groningen 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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