Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Nov 2024

Groningen
1-0 HT 1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.49
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.15
X/2
12%
5.94
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
21%
4.28
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.17/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
-29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.8 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.85 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-5 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.09.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.05.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.10.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
02.05.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.12.2020 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL

Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
1-0
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.51 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen edged past Sparta Rotterdam 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Groningen had 43% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 57%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Groningen and 2.33 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Groningen 34%, draw 24%, Sparta Rotterdam 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam)
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