NAC Breda 0-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Nov 2024

NAC Breda
0-3 HT 0-2
PSV Eindhoven
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
51%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.55
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
6%
20.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
14.9
X/2
16%
3.52
X/X
12%
7.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.66
2/X
7%
19.7
Value flag · X/1 at 14.9 — our 12% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
51%
Away Win
67%
-15.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 71%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.11/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.84
+31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.7
9.8 Crosses 20.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.84 xG 2.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
268 Passes 448
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 3-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOK
23.01.2020 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
09.03.2019 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
29.09.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
31.03.2018 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
20.08.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-4 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL

NAC Breda 0-3 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
0-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.49 xG 2.20
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 9
183 Passes 554
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven cruised past NAC Breda 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, NAC Breda had 30% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 70%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.49 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NAC Breda and 2.83 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven?

NAC Breda 0-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 24%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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