Almere City 1-4 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.63
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
19%
4.51
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.28/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.76
-20% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.6 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
04.04.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
07.10.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
15.02.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
28.09.2018 Almere City Almere City 2-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
02.04.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-4 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-4
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.49 xG 2.31
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 10
165 Passes 431
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 34
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk ran out comfortable winners over Almere City 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; RKC Waalwijk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Almere City had 32% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 68%, shots finished 15-27, expected goals 1.49 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Almere City and 0.50 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Almere City vs RKC Waalwijk?

Almere City 1-4 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Almere City 39%, draw 26%, RKC Waalwijk 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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