Ajax vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Feyenoord
HOL
1-2
HT 1-1
Ajax
HOK
2-3
HT 2-1
Feyenoord
HOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax edged past Feyenoord 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Ajax made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ajax had 51% of the ball to Feyenoord's 49%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.54 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ajax's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajax and 2.50 for Feyenoord.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Feyenoord?
Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Feyenoord?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajax 37%, draw 26%, Feyenoord 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.