Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.64
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
9%
15.55
X/X
12%
8.03
2/1
10%
19.3
2/2
14%
10.35
2/X
5%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+12.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.51
-21% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.3 Crosses 17.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajax
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Ajax Ajax 0-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.04.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajax Ajax HOK
19.03.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-3 HT 2-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
22.01.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
20.03.2022 Ajax Ajax 3-2 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
19.12.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
6-0
AWAY Ajax
3.62 xG 0.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
30 Total Shots 1
15 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
412 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
58 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord ran out comfortable winners over Ajax 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Feyenoord had 57% of the ball to Ajax's 43%, shots finished 30-1, expected goals 3.62 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Feyenoord and 1.67 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Ajax?

Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 50%, draw 22%, Ajax 28%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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