Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Apr 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
1-1 HT 1-1
Almere City
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.05
X/2
9%
9.82
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
14%
7.39
2/X
8%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 23%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.38
+29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
21.7 Crosses 15.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Almere City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.10.2021 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
17.04.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
21.11.2020 Almere City Almere City 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
12.01.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
29.10.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
AWAY Almere City
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
213 Passes 261
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles and Almere City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 47% of the ball to Almere City's 53%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.83 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 49%, draw 23%, Almere City 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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