Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Apr 2024

Volendam
3-2 HT 2-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Volendam vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.6
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
18%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
7%
7.42
X/2
10%
4.74
X/X
12%
5.57
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
24%
2.62
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.58/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.78
+6% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -57%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.8 Crosses 13.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Volendam vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
319 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
05.05.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-1 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
14.01.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
22.02.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-3 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
05.10.2018 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
13.04.2018 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2

Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-2
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.50 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
169 Passes 310
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam squeezed past RKC Waalwijk 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 41% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 59%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.50 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Volendam and 1.83 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Volendam vs RKC Waalwijk?

Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Volendam 29%, draw 27%, RKC Waalwijk 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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