Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.98
+7% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Naestved
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.21 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
12.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
10.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
17.11.2019 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
30.08.2019 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
1-0
AWAY Naestved
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager nicked a narrow win over Naestved 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 54% of the ball to Naestved's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fremad Amager and 0.33 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Naestved?

Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 43%, draw 32%, Naestved 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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