Skive IK 1-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.81/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.46
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thisted
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
26.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
03.11.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
08.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
05.09.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-2 Thisted Thisted DAK
10.04.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
1-1
AWAY Thisted
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK and Thisted couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Skive IK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Skive IK had 60% of the ball to Thisted's 40%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Skive IK and 1.00 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Thisted?

Skive IK 1-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 49%, draw 25%, Thisted 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Skive IK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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