Şili 1-2 Brezilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2024

Şili
1-2 HT 1-1
Brezilya
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Şili vs Brezilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
39%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.96
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 37% vs market 35.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.55
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
14%
19.6
X/1
10%
11.3
X/2
13%
3.44
X/X
17%
4.31
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.07
2/X
6%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.5pp
37%
Draw
25%
+11.4pp
39%
Away Win
59%
-19.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şili v Brezilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya EU Bookmakers 62%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.46/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.54
-92% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -29%
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
13.0 Crosses 16.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Şili vs Brezilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brezilya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.44 xG 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2022 Brezilya Brezilya 4-0 HT 2-0 Şili Şili DKE
03.09.2021 Şili Şili 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
03.07.2021 Brezilya Brezilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili AKU
11.10.2017 Brezilya Brezilya 3-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili DKE
09.10.2015 Şili Şili 2-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
29.03.2015 Şili Şili 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya HAZ

Şili 1-2 Brezilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili
1-2
AWAY Brezilya
0.21 xG 0.48
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
160 Passes 537
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Şili vs Brezilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya edged past Şili 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (25% / 37% / 39%) promised a tight game; Brezilya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili had 28% of the ball to Brezilya's 72%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.21 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Şili and 1.67 for Brezilya.

What was the final score of Şili vs Brezilya?

Şili 1-2 Brezilya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili vs Brezilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Şili 25%, draw 37%, Brezilya 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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