Ekvador 0-0 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2024

Ekvador
0-0 HT 0-0
Paraguay
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Ekvador vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.96
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.7
X/1
12%
3.27
X/2
8%
13.1
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
9%
13.2
2/X
8%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekvador v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.11/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.29
-28% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +119%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
21.1 Crosses 7.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ekvador vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paraguay
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 174
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2022 Paraguay Paraguay 3-1 HT 2-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
03.09.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 2-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
24.03.2017 Paraguay Paraguay 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
24.03.2016 Ekvador Ekvador 2-2 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
26.03.2013 Ekvador Ekvador 4-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
12.11.2011 Paraguay Paraguay 2-1 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE

Ekvador 0-0 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador
0-0
AWAY Paraguay
0.45 xG 0.10
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
557 Passes 111
89% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ekvador vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador and Paraguay played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ekvador at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ekvador had 77% of the ball to Paraguay's 23%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 0.45 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paraguay led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ekvador and 1.67 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of Ekvador vs Paraguay?

Ekvador 0-0 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 54%, draw 26%, Paraguay 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ekvador) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekvador) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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