Venezuela 1-1 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2024

Venezuela
1-1
Arjantin
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Venezuela vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
52%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.27
No
67%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.88
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 38% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.9
1/2
11%
29.5
1/X
4%
18.65
X/1
11%
10.8
X/2
12%
3.53
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.12
2/X
9%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.8pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezuela v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.02/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.56
-4% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 11.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Venezuela vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arjantin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
197 Passes 475
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.03.2022 Arjantin Arjantin 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
03.09.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 1-3 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
28.06.2019 Venezuela Venezuela 0-2 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin AKU
22.03.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 1-3 HT 0-2 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ
06.09.2017 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
07.09.2016 Venezuela Venezuela 2-2 HT 1-0 Arjantin Arjantin DKE

Venezuela 1-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela
1-1
AWAY Arjantin
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
138 Passes 275
57% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Venezuela vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela and Arjantin shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Arjantin at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Venezuela had 40% of the ball to Arjantin's 60%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venezuela and 2.00 for Arjantin.

What was the final score of Venezuela vs Arjantin?

Venezuela 1-1 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 23%, draw 26%, Arjantin 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arjantin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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