HNK Cibalia 1-2 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.35
+69% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
06.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-2
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb nicked a narrow win over HNK Cibalia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 54% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb?

HNK Cibalia 1-2 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 42%, draw 27%, Dubrava Zagreb 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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