Radnik Sesvete 1-3 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.13/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.66
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
16.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-3
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo beat Radnik Sesvete 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 51% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 2.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo?

Radnik Sesvete 1-3 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 54%, draw 25%, Bijelo Brdo 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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