Tolmin 3-0 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 54%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.69/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/0.68
-38% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY NK Brinje
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-0 HT 1-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
04.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-3 HT 0-2 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tolmin swept aside NK Brinje 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was NK Brinje at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, NK Brinje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tolmin and 2.00 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs NK Brinje?

Tolmin 3-0 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 20%, draw 28%, NK Brinje 53%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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