Guangzhou E-Power 4-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.2pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou E-Power EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.37/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.11
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
24.8 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou E-Power
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nanjing City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.77
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
380 Passes 135
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
33 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-4 HT 1-0 Guangzhou E-Power Guangzhou E-Power ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou E-Power
4-1
AWAY Nanjing City
0.41 xG 1.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
410 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangzhou E-Power vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou E-Power swept aside Nanjing City 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guangzhou E-Power as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Guangzhou E-Power had 63% of the ball to Nanjing City's 37%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.41 to 1.59 — on chances, Nanjing City could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Guangzhou E-Power vs Nanjing City?

Guangzhou E-Power 4-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou E-Power vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou E-Power win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou E-Power 65%, draw 17%, Nanjing City 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
11 Oct 2025
14:00 Dalian Huayi vs Shanghai Jiading Analysis →
14:30 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →
14:30 Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →