Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.40/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.32
-23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
31.1 Crosses 11.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 166
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 3-1 HT 3-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
31.05.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
03.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
08.09.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
13.07.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
21.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-4 HT 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-0
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.88 xG 0.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
337 Passes 462
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long saw off Foshan Nanshi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 44% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 56%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.88 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 66%, draw 21%, Foshan Nanshi 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long)
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