Hebei Kungfu 1-2 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
47%
-14.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 51%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.17/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.62
+40% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.3 Crosses 18.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
250 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
22.09.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-1 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
05.05.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
03.09.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
05.08.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
1-2
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.90 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
282 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang edged past Hebei Kungfu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Liaoning Shenyang found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 46% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 54%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.47 — on chances, Hebei Kungfu could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 0.83 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Hebei Kungfu 1-2 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 36%, draw 31%, Liaoning Shenyang 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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