Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 37% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.16/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.11
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
28.0 Crosses 13.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.27 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
291 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
03.09.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
05.08.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
19.07.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
0-1
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.42 xG 1.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
122 Passes 237
62% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang nicked a narrow win over Hebei Kungfu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Liaoning Shenyang made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 41% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 59%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.42 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 0.60 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 37%, draw 32%, Liaoning Shenyang 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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