Hainan Star 2-1 Xian Ronghai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.71/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.76
+59% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
19.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Xian Ronghai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.17 xG 0.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
140 Passes 172
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
6 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Xian Ronghai Xian Ronghai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hainan Star
2-1
AWAY Xian Ronghai
0.70 xG 0.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
52 Passes 62
32% Pass Accuracy 42%
19 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Xian Ronghai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star edged past Xian Ronghai 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hainan Star as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hainan Star had 44% of the ball to Xian Ronghai's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Xian Ronghai?

Hainan Star 2-1 Xian Ronghai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Xian Ronghai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 43%, draw 27%, Xian Ronghai 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hainan Star) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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