Wuxi Wugou 4-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.47
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 39% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 31%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +26%
0.57/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.16
-41% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.7 Crosses 13.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.06 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
176 Passes 242
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
04.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
22.10.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 2-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
09.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 6-2 HT 2-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
4-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
2.56 xG 0.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
399 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou cruised past Foshan Nanshi 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wuxi Wugou found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 63% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 37%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.56 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 2.50 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Foshan Nanshi?

Wuxi Wugou 4-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuxi Wugou win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 37%, draw 28%, Foshan Nanshi 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
22 Sep 2024
10:00 Shanghai Port II vs Langfang Glory City Analysis →
11:00 Taian Tiankuang vs Quanzhou Yassin Analysis →
11:00 Hainan Star vs Xian Ronghai Analysis →
12:00 Guangzhou E-Power vs Shandong Taishan II Analysis →
13:00 Shaanxi Union vs Shenzhen Juniors Analysis →
14:30 Hebei Kungfu vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →