AFC Fylde 2-3 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.38
Over
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.7
2-3
38%
1.9
4-5
22%
2.66
6+
13%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
AFC Fylde win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
64%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town The Market 20%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.35/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.33
+28% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-3
AWAY Worksop Town
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Fylde 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Fylde at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 68% of the ball to Worksop Town's 32%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Worksop Town?

AFC Fylde 2-3 Worksop Town in the England - Conference on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 65%, draw 19%, Worksop Town 16%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Oct 2025
17:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Leamington Analysis →
17:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
17:00 Chorley vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Marine vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →
17:00 Maidstone United vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Torquay United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →