Marine 0-4 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.13
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.41
6+
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton The Market 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.45/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.10
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Marine Marine İCON
12.11.2024 Marine Marine 0-2 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
0-4
AWAY Curzon Ashton
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marine vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton ran out comfortable winners over Marine 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marine had 46% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 54%, shots finished 17-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marine and 1.00 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Marine vs Curzon Ashton?

Marine 0-4 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marine 38%, draw 27%, Curzon Ashton 35%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marine) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Oct 2025
17:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Leamington Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Worksop Town Analysis →
17:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
17:00 Chorley vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Maidstone United vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Torquay United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →