Curzon Ashton 0-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.67/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.02
-6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2024 Marine Marine 0-2 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-1
AWAY Marine
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine squeezed past Curzon Ashton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Curzon Ashton at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 55% of the ball to Marine's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Marine?

Curzon Ashton 0-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 44%, draw 28%, Marine 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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