Chesham United 1-0 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -13%
1.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.32
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
24.08.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United nicked a narrow win over St. Albans City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Chesham United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs St. Albans City?

Chesham United 1-0 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 37%, draw 28%, St. Albans City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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