St. Albans City 1-2 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
43%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.40/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-2
AWAY Chesham United
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United nicked a narrow win over St. Albans City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Chesham United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, St. Albans City had 50% of the ball to Chesham United's 50%.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Chesham United?

St. Albans City 1-2 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 31%, draw 29%, Chesham United 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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