Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
2.18/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.48
+31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aveley
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-2 HT 1-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
14.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2-1
AWAY Aveley
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough edged past Aveley 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 50% of the ball to Aveley's 50%, shots finished 3-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aveley led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?

Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 42%, draw 26%, Aveley 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5
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