Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-1
AWAY Needham Market
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough and Needham Market couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Radcliffe Borough at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 56% of the ball to Needham Market's 44%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Needham Market?

Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 46%, draw 27%, Needham Market 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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