Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.17
6+ Goals
11%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
2.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.65
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
07.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
19.09.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC FAK
16.09.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic FAK
14.02.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
03.09.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-4 HT 0-2 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic nicked a narrow win over Farsley AFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Scarborough Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 51% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 49%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.50 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Farsley AFC?

Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 44%, draw 29%, Farsley AFC 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ BTTS Yes
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