Darlington 1883 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.51
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Leamington
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
29.10.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
02.04.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
23.10.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
03.12.2019 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-0
AWAY Leamington
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 edged past Leamington 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 61% of the ball to Leamington's 39%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leamington led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.40 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Leamington?

Darlington 1883 1-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 47%, draw 27%, Leamington 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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