Scunthorpe United 1-1 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.96/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
+10% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Chorley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
23.09.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
1-1
AWAY Chorley
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United and Chorley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 56% of the ball to Chorley's 44%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Scunthorpe United and 0.50 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Chorley?

Scunthorpe United 1-1 Chorley in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 45%, draw 28%, Chorley 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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