Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.44/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.01
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aveley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-2
AWAY Aveley
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley edged past Eastbourne Borough 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Aveley made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 53% of the ball to Aveley's 47%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?

Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Aveley in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aveley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 35%, draw 25%, Aveley 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aveley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aveley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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