Worthing 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
9%
7.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.95/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.71
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
23.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
09.09.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
29.04.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-1 HT 3-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
24.09.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
3-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing ran out comfortable winners over Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 41%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Worthing and 1.20 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Worthing 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Worthing 52%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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